Does it predict winners?
Predicts home win: AUC 0.64 (team entering with the better value wins 60% of games)
Team Distribution
Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.
min 35.6% max 54.9% mean 43.6% std 2.7% (n=349)
Team Rankings
Loading…| # | Team | Field Goal Percentage | z | Pctl | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
54.9% | +4.25 | 100 | 32 |
| 2 |
|
51.1% | +2.83 | 100 | 18 |
| 3 |
|
50.1% | +2.45 | 99 | 23 |
| 4 |
|
50.0% | +2.39 | 99 | 31 |
| 5 |
|
49.6% | +2.27 | 99 | 20 |
| 6 |
|
49.4% | +2.18 | 99 | 20 |
| 7 |
|
49.4% | +2.16 | 98 | 22 |
| 8 |
|
49.3% | +2.12 | 98 | 16 |
| 9 |
|
49.1% | +2.07 | 98 | 29 |
| 10 |
|
48.9% | +1.98 | 97 | 30 |
| 11 |
|
48.8% | +1.96 | 97 | 25 |
| 12 |
|
48.6% | +1.88 | 97 | 30 |
| 13 |
|
48.3% | +1.75 | 97 | 22 |
| 14 |
|
48.3% | +1.75 | 96 | 24 |
| 15 |
|
48.2% | +1.74 | 96 | 28 |
| 16 |
|
47.8% | +1.58 | 96 | 26 |
| 17 |
|
47.8% | +1.56 | 95 | 25 |
| 18 |
|
47.7% | +1.55 | 95 | 24 |
| 19 |
|
47.7% | +1.54 | 95 | 26 |
| 20 |
|
47.7% | +1.54 | 95 | 29 |
| 21 |
|
47.7% | +1.53 | 94 | 24 |
| 22 |
|
47.6% | +1.49 | 94 | 20 |
| 23 |
|
47.5% | +1.45 | 94 | 22 |
| 24 |
|
47.4% | +1.44 | 93 | 25 |
| 25 |
|
47.4% | +1.44 | 93 | 25 |
| 26 |
|
47.4% | +1.43 | 93 | 24 |
| 27 |
|
47.4% | +1.43 | 93 | 22 |
| 28 |
|
47.4% | +1.42 | 92 | 24 |
| 29 |
|
47.3% | +1.37 | 92 | 26 |
| 30 |
|
47.2% | +1.33 | 92 | 33 |
| 31 |
|
47.2% | +1.33 | 91 | 28 |
| 32 |
|
47.2% | +1.33 | 91 | 31 |
| 33 |
|
47.1% | +1.32 | 91 | 25 |
| 34 |
|
47.1% | +1.31 | 91 | 25 |
| 35 |
|
47.1% | +1.30 | 90 | 23 |
| 36 |
|
47.1% | +1.30 | 90 | 31 |
| 37 |
|
46.9% | +1.25 | 90 | 25 |
| 38 |
|
46.8% | +1.22 | 89 | 27 |
| 39 |
|
46.8% | +1.21 | 89 | 22 |
| 40 |
|
46.8% | +1.20 | 89 | 24 |
| 41 |
|
46.8% | +1.19 | 89 | 20 |
| 42 |
|
46.8% | +1.19 | 88 | 25 |
| 43 |
|
46.8% | +1.18 | 88 | 21 |
| 44 |
|
46.7% | +1.17 | 88 | 20 |
| 45 |
|
46.6% | +1.14 | 87 | 21 |
| 46 |
|
46.6% | +1.13 | 87 | 24 |
| 47 |
|
46.5% | +1.08 | 87 | 17 |
| 48 |
|
46.4% | +1.05 | 86 | 27 |
| 49 |
|
46.4% | +1.05 | 86 | 23 |
| 50 |
|
46.4% | +1.03 | 86 | 22 |
| 51 |
|
46.4% | +1.03 | 86 | 18 |
| 52 |
|
46.3% | +1.03 | 85 | 27 |
| 53 |
|
46.3% | +1.00 | 85 | 15 |
| 54 |
|
46.2% | +0.97 | 85 | 21 |
| 55 |
|
46.1% | +0.95 | 84 | 32 |
| 56 |
|
46.1% | +0.94 | 84 | 29 |
| 57 |
|
46.1% | +0.93 | 84 | 25 |
| 58 |
|
46.0% | +0.89 | 84 | 14 |
| 59 |
|
46.0% | +0.89 | 83 | 17 |
| 60 |
|
45.9% | +0.87 | 83 | 19 |
| 61 |
|
45.9% | +0.86 | 83 | 26 |
| 62 |
|
45.9% | +0.85 | 82 | 29 |
| 63 |
|
45.9% | +0.84 | 82 | 31 |
| 64 |
|
45.8% | +0.84 | 82 | 30 |
| 65 |
|
45.8% | +0.84 | 82 | 21 |
| 66 |
|
45.8% | +0.81 | 81 | 22 |
| 67 |
|
45.7% | +0.80 | 81 | 22 |
| 68 |
|
45.7% | +0.78 | 81 | 25 |
| 69 |
|
45.7% | +0.77 | 80 | 21 |
| 70 |
|
45.6% | +0.77 | 80 | 17 |
| 71 |
|
45.6% | +0.75 | 80 | 32 |
| 72 |
|
45.6% | +0.74 | 80 | 25 |
| 73 |
|
45.6% | +0.74 | 79 | 30 |
| 74 |
|
45.5% | +0.73 | 79 | 30 |
| 75 |
|
45.5% | +0.72 | 79 | 12 |
| 76 |
|
45.5% | +0.72 | 78 | 25 |
| 77 |
|
45.5% | +0.70 | 78 | 27 |
| 78 |
|
45.5% | +0.69 | 78 | 19 |
| 79 |
|
45.4% | +0.67 | 78 | 22 |
| 80 |
|
45.4% | +0.67 | 77 | 33 |
| 81 |
|
45.4% | +0.67 | 77 | 27 |
| 82 |
|
45.3% | +0.65 | 77 | 25 |
| 83 |
|
45.3% | +0.64 | 76 | 20 |
| 84 |
|
45.3% | +0.64 | 76 | 25 |
| 85 |
|
45.2% | +0.60 | 76 | 20 |
| 86 |
|
45.2% | +0.59 | 76 | 25 |
| 87 |
|
45.2% | +0.58 | 75 | 23 |
| 88 |
|
45.2% | +0.58 | 75 | 21 |
| 89 |
|
45.1% | +0.58 | 75 | 32 |
| 90 |
|
45.1% | +0.57 | 74 | 26 |
| 91 |
|
45.0% | +0.54 | 74 | 24 |
| 92 |
|
45.0% | +0.53 | 74 | 24 |
| 93 |
|
45.0% | +0.53 | 74 | 25 |
| 94 |
|
45.0% | +0.52 | 73 | 22 |
| 95 |
|
45.0% | +0.52 | 73 | 27 |
| 96 |
|
45.0% | +0.51 | 73 | 23 |
| 97 |
|
44.9% | +0.50 | 72 | 27 |
| 98 |
|
44.9% | +0.49 | 72 | 25 |
| 99 |
|
44.9% | +0.49 | 72 | 25 |
| 100 |
|
44.9% | +0.48 | 72 | 18 |
| 101 |
|
44.9% | +0.47 | 71 | 29 |
| 102 |
|
44.9% | +0.47 | 71 | 28 |
| 103 |
|
44.8% | +0.46 | 71 | 18 |
| 104 |
|
44.8% | +0.46 | 70 | 21 |
| 105 |
|
44.7% | +0.42 | 70 | 28 |
| 106 |
|
44.7% | +0.42 | 70 | 16 |
| 107 |
|
44.7% | +0.42 | 70 | 18 |
| 108 |
|
44.7% | +0.41 | 69 | 26 |
| 109 |
|
44.7% | +0.41 | 69 | 22 |
| 110 |
|
44.7% | +0.40 | 69 | 25 |
| 111 |
|
44.7% | +0.40 | 68 | 27 |
| 112 |
|
44.6% | +0.38 | 68 | 26 |
| 113 |
|
44.6% | +0.38 | 68 | 25 |
| 114 |
|
44.6% | +0.38 | 68 | 19 |
| 115 |
|
44.5% | +0.35 | 67 | 25 |
| 116 |
|
44.5% | +0.35 | 67 | 27 |
| 117 |
|
44.5% | +0.34 | 67 | 10 |
| 118 |
|
44.5% | +0.34 | 66 | 18 |
| 119 |
|
44.5% | +0.33 | 66 | 25 |
| 120 |
|
44.5% | +0.32 | 66 | 25 |
| 121 |
|
44.5% | +0.32 | 66 | 15 |
| 122 |
|
44.4% | +0.31 | 65 | 26 |
| 123 |
|
44.4% | +0.31 | 65 | 16 |
| 124 |
|
44.4% | +0.30 | 65 | 24 |
| 125 |
|
44.4% | +0.30 | 64 | 20 |
| 126 |
|
44.4% | +0.29 | 64 | 28 |
| 127 |
|
44.4% | +0.29 | 64 | 21 |
| 128 |
|
44.4% | +0.29 | 64 | 28 |
| 129 |
|
44.4% | +0.29 | 63 | 21 |
| 130 |
|
44.3% | +0.27 | 63 | 23 |
| 131 |
|
44.3% | +0.26 | 63 | 27 |
| 132 |
|
44.3% | +0.26 | 62 | 27 |
| 133 |
|
44.3% | +0.26 | 62 | 23 |
| 134 |
|
44.3% | +0.26 | 62 | 25 |
| 135 |
|
44.3% | +0.26 | 61 | 17 |
| 136 |
|
44.3% | +0.25 | 61 | 21 |
| 137 |
|
44.3% | +0.25 | 61 | 18 |
| 138 |
|
44.2% | +0.24 | 61 | 26 |
| 139 |
|
44.2% | +0.23 | 60 | 20 |
| 140 |
|
44.2% | +0.23 | 60 | 25 |
| 141 |
|
44.2% | +0.23 | 60 | 26 |
| 142 |
|
44.2% | +0.22 | 59 | 27 |
| 143 |
|
44.2% | +0.22 | 59 | 22 |
| 144 |
|
44.2% | +0.21 | 59 | 28 |
| 145 |
|
44.2% | +0.21 | 59 | 22 |
| 146 |
|
44.2% | +0.21 | 58 | 18 |
| 147 |
|
44.1% | +0.20 | 58 | 31 |
| 148 |
|
44.1% | +0.20 | 58 | 27 |
| 149 |
|
44.1% | +0.19 | 57 | 19 |
| 150 |
|
44.1% | +0.19 | 57 | 28 |
| 151 |
|
44.1% | +0.18 | 57 | 27 |
| 152 |
|
44.0% | +0.14 | 57 | 21 |
| 153 |
|
44.0% | +0.14 | 56 | 17 |
| 154 |
|
44.0% | +0.13 | 56 | 25 |
| 155 |
|
43.9% | +0.13 | 56 | 20 |
| 156 |
|
43.9% | +0.11 | 55 | 25 |
| 157 |
|
43.9% | +0.11 | 55 | 29 |
| 158 |
|
43.9% | +0.10 | 55 | 29 |
| 159 |
|
43.9% | +0.09 | 55 | 27 |
| 160 |
|
43.8% | +0.09 | 54 | 25 |
| 161 |
|
43.8% | +0.09 | 54 | 24 |
| 162 |
|
43.8% | +0.07 | 54 | 20 |
| 163 |
|
43.8% | +0.07 | 53 | 25 |
| 164 |
|
43.8% | +0.06 | 53 | 19 |
| 165 |
|
43.8% | +0.06 | 53 | 26 |
| 166 |
|
43.8% | +0.06 | 53 | 21 |
| 167 |
|
43.8% | +0.06 | 52 | 23 |
| 168 |
|
43.7% | +0.04 | 52 | 23 |
| 169 |
|
43.7% | +0.03 | 52 | 24 |
| 170 |
|
43.7% | +0.02 | 51 | 27 |
| 171 |
|
43.7% | +0.02 | 51 | 19 |
| 172 |
|
43.6% | +0.01 | 51 | 15 |
| 173 |
|
43.6% | +0.00 | 51 | 22 |
| 174 |
|
43.6% | -0.00 | 50 | 17 |
| 175 |
|
43.6% | -0.01 | 50 | 18 |
| 176 |
|
43.6% | -0.02 | 50 | 17 |
| 177 |
|
43.6% | -0.02 | 49 | 27 |
| 178 |
|
43.6% | -0.02 | 49 | 20 |
| 179 |
|
43.5% | -0.03 | 49 | 25 |
| 180 |
|
43.5% | -0.03 | 49 | 24 |
| 181 |
|
43.5% | -0.04 | 48 | 24 |
| 182 |
|
43.5% | -0.04 | 48 | 25 |
| 183 |
|
43.5% | -0.05 | 48 | 33 |
| 184 |
|
43.5% | -0.05 | 47 | 22 |
| 185 |
|
43.5% | -0.05 | 47 | 5 |
| 186 |
|
43.4% | -0.08 | 47 | 28 |
| 187 |
|
43.4% | -0.09 | 47 | 23 |
| 188 |
|
43.3% | -0.11 | 46 | 25 |
| 189 |
|
43.3% | -0.11 | 46 | 27 |
| 190 |
|
43.3% | -0.11 | 46 | 29 |
| 191 |
|
43.3% | -0.12 | 45 | 25 |
| 192 |
|
43.3% | -0.12 | 45 | 24 |
| 193 |
|
43.3% | -0.12 | 45 | 14 |
| 194 |
|
43.3% | -0.13 | 45 | 22 |
| 195 |
|
43.3% | -0.13 | 44 | 15 |
| 196 |
|
43.2% | -0.14 | 44 | 27 |
| 197 |
|
43.2% | -0.15 | 44 | 23 |
| 198 |
|
43.2% | -0.15 | 43 | 24 |
| 199 |
|
43.2% | -0.15 | 43 | 19 |
| 200 |
|
43.2% | -0.15 | 43 | 17 |
| 201 |
|
43.2% | -0.16 | 43 | 24 |
| 202 |
|
43.2% | -0.16 | 42 | 23 |
| 203 |
|
43.2% | -0.16 | 42 | 22 |
| 204 |
|
43.2% | -0.16 | 42 | 19 |
| 205 |
|
43.2% | -0.17 | 41 | 22 |
| 206 |
|
43.2% | -0.17 | 41 | 23 |
| 207 |
|
43.1% | -0.19 | 41 | 20 |
| 208 |
|
43.1% | -0.20 | 41 | 25 |
| 209 |
|
43.1% | -0.20 | 40 | 24 |
| 210 |
|
43.1% | -0.20 | 40 | 24 |
| 211 |
|
43.1% | -0.20 | 40 | 15 |
| 212 |
|
43.1% | -0.21 | 39 | 23 |
| 213 |
|
43.0% | -0.21 | 39 | 28 |
| 214 |
|
43.0% | -0.21 | 39 | 21 |
| 215 |
|
43.0% | -0.22 | 39 | 31 |
| 216 |
|
43.0% | -0.22 | 38 | 20 |
| 217 |
|
43.0% | -0.23 | 38 | 25 |
| 218 |
|
43.0% | -0.23 | 38 | 22 |
| 219 |
|
43.0% | -0.24 | 37 | 26 |
| 220 |
|
42.9% | -0.25 | 37 | 23 |
| 221 |
|
42.9% | -0.25 | 37 | 23 |
| 222 |
|
42.9% | -0.26 | 36 | 27 |
| 223 |
|
42.9% | -0.26 | 36 | 22 |
| 224 |
|
42.9% | -0.27 | 36 | 22 |
| 225 |
|
42.9% | -0.27 | 36 | 29 |
| 226 |
|
42.9% | -0.28 | 35 | 19 |
| 227 |
|
42.8% | -0.29 | 35 | 26 |
| 228 |
|
42.8% | -0.29 | 35 | 24 |
| 229 |
|
42.8% | -0.29 | 34 | 15 |
| 230 |
|
42.8% | -0.30 | 34 | 19 |
| 231 |
|
42.8% | -0.31 | 34 | 23 |
| 232 |
|
42.8% | -0.32 | 34 | 25 |
| 233 |
|
42.7% | -0.33 | 33 | 32 |
| 234 |
|
42.7% | -0.33 | 33 | 22 |
| 235 |
|
42.7% | -0.34 | 33 | 21 |
| 236 |
|
42.7% | -0.34 | 32 | 28 |
| 237 |
|
42.7% | -0.35 | 32 | 21 |
| 238 |
|
42.6% | -0.37 | 32 | 28 |
| 239 |
|
42.6% | -0.37 | 32 | 22 |
| 240 |
|
42.6% | -0.40 | 31 | 23 |
| 241 |
|
42.5% | -0.42 | 31 | 24 |
| 242 |
|
42.5% | -0.43 | 31 | 31 |
| 243 |
|
42.5% | -0.43 | 30 | 23 |
| 244 |
|
42.5% | -0.43 | 30 | 22 |
| 245 |
|
42.5% | -0.43 | 30 | 27 |
| 246 |
|
42.4% | -0.44 | 30 | 21 |
| 247 |
|
42.4% | -0.44 | 29 | 16 |
| 248 |
|
42.4% | -0.47 | 29 | 26 |
| 249 |
|
42.3% | -0.48 | 29 | 26 |
| 250 |
|
42.3% | -0.48 | 28 | 17 |
| 251 |
|
42.3% | -0.48 | 28 | 22 |
| 252 |
|
42.3% | -0.50 | 28 | 18 |
| 253 |
|
42.3% | -0.50 | 28 | 23 |
| 254 |
|
42.3% | -0.51 | 27 | 20 |
| 255 |
|
42.2% | -0.52 | 27 | 24 |
| 256 |
|
42.2% | -0.53 | 27 | 22 |
| 257 |
|
42.2% | -0.53 | 26 | 22 |
| 258 |
|
42.2% | -0.53 | 26 | 3 |
| 259 |
|
42.2% | -0.54 | 26 | 20 |
| 260 |
|
42.2% | -0.54 | 26 | 19 |
| 261 |
|
42.1% | -0.56 | 25 | 18 |
| 262 |
|
42.1% | -0.56 | 25 | 24 |
| 263 |
|
42.1% | -0.58 | 25 | 30 |
| 264 |
|
42.0% | -0.59 | 24 | 21 |
| 265 |
|
42.0% | -0.60 | 24 | 23 |
| 266 |
|
41.9% | -0.63 | 24 | 22 |
| 267 |
|
41.8% | -0.67 | 24 | 25 |
| 268 |
|
41.8% | -0.67 | 23 | 24 |
| 269 |
|
41.7% | -0.71 | 23 | 20 |
| 270 |
|
41.7% | -0.72 | 23 | 19 |
| 271 |
|
41.7% | -0.73 | 22 | 30 |
| 272 |
|
41.7% | -0.73 | 22 | 25 |
| 273 |
|
41.7% | -0.73 | 22 | 28 |
| 274 |
|
41.6% | -0.75 | 22 | 17 |
| 275 |
|
41.6% | -0.75 | 21 | 26 |
| 276 |
|
41.6% | -0.77 | 21 | 24 |
| 277 |
|
41.6% | -0.77 | 21 | 14 |
| 278 |
|
41.6% | -0.77 | 20 | 21 |
| 279 |
|
41.5% | -0.79 | 20 | 18 |
| 280 |
|
41.5% | -0.79 | 20 | 22 |
| 281 |
|
41.5% | -0.79 | 20 | 21 |
| 282 |
|
41.5% | -0.80 | 19 | 25 |
| 283 |
|
41.5% | -0.80 | 19 | 18 |
| 284 |
|
41.4% | -0.83 | 19 | 18 |
| 285 |
|
41.4% | -0.84 | 18 | 21 |
| 286 |
|
41.3% | -0.85 | 18 | 19 |
| 287 |
|
41.3% | -0.87 | 18 | 16 |
| 288 |
|
41.2% | -0.90 | 18 | 26 |
| 289 |
|
41.2% | -0.90 | 17 | 18 |
| 290 |
|
41.2% | -0.91 | 17 | 26 |
| 291 |
|
41.1% | -0.93 | 17 | 18 |
| 292 |
|
41.1% | -0.93 | 16 | 27 |
| 293 |
|
41.1% | -0.94 | 16 | 22 |
| 294 |
|
41.1% | -0.96 | 16 | 25 |
| 295 |
|
41.1% | -0.96 | 16 | 28 |
| 296 |
|
41.0% | -0.97 | 15 | 18 |
| 297 |
|
40.9% | -1.01 | 15 | 17 |
| 298 |
|
40.9% | -1.01 | 15 | 15 |
| 299 |
|
40.9% | -1.02 | 14 | 21 |
| 300 |
|
40.9% | -1.02 | 14 | 13 |
| 301 |
|
40.9% | -1.03 | 14 | 20 |
| 302 |
|
40.8% | -1.04 | 14 | 21 |
| 303 |
|
40.8% | -1.04 | 13 | 13 |
| 304 |
|
40.8% | -1.06 | 13 | 25 |
| 305 |
|
40.8% | -1.07 | 13 | 20 |
| 306 |
|
40.7% | -1.08 | 12 | 22 |
| 307 |
|
40.4% | -1.19 | 12 | 19 |
| 308 |
|
40.4% | -1.20 | 12 | 19 |
| 309 |
|
40.4% | -1.22 | 11 | 18 |
| 310 |
|
40.3% | -1.25 | 11 | 21 |
| 311 |
|
40.3% | -1.26 | 11 | 19 |
| 312 |
|
40.2% | -1.29 | 11 | 20 |
| 313 |
|
40.1% | -1.30 | 10 | 22 |
| 314 |
|
40.1% | -1.32 | 10 | 16 |
| 315 |
|
40.0% | -1.34 | 10 | 25 |
| 316 |
|
40.0% | -1.36 | 9 | 15 |
| 317 |
|
39.9% | -1.39 | 9 | 21 |
| 318 |
|
39.9% | -1.39 | 9 | 20 |
| 319 |
|
39.9% | -1.39 | 9 | 19 |
| 320 |
|
39.9% | -1.40 | 8 | 25 |
| 321 |
|
39.8% | -1.42 | 8 | 27 |
| 322 |
|
39.8% | -1.42 | 8 | 19 |
| 323 |
|
39.8% | -1.42 | 7 | 18 |
| 324 |
|
39.8% | -1.44 | 7 | 20 |
| 325 |
|
39.8% | -1.45 | 7 | 21 |
| 326 |
|
39.7% | -1.48 | 7 | 23 |
| 327 |
|
39.5% | -1.53 | 6 | 18 |
| 328 |
|
39.5% | -1.53 | 6 | 18 |
| 329 |
|
39.5% | -1.56 | 6 | 26 |
| 330 |
|
39.3% | -1.62 | 5 | 19 |
| 331 |
|
39.2% | -1.64 | 5 | 29 |
| 332 |
|
39.2% | -1.67 | 5 | 23 |
| 333 |
|
39.1% | -1.68 | 5 | 17 |
| 334 |
|
38.9% | -1.77 | 4 | 22 |
| 335 |
|
38.9% | -1.78 | 4 | 25 |
| 336 |
|
38.8% | -1.80 | 4 | 18 |
| 337 |
|
38.7% | -1.83 | 3 | 18 |
| 338 |
|
38.6% | -1.87 | 3 | 25 |
| 339 |
|
38.6% | -1.87 | 3 | 23 |
| 340 |
|
38.4% | -1.95 | 3 | 19 |
| 341 |
|
38.3% | -1.99 | 2 | 23 |
| 342 |
|
38.1% | -2.09 | 2 | 9 |
| 343 |
|
38.0% | -2.10 | 2 | 15 |
| 344 |
|
38.0% | -2.12 | 1 | 18 |
| 345 |
|
37.7% | -2.23 | 1 | 20 |
| 346 |
|
37.1% | -2.45 | 1 | 1 |
| 347 |
|
36.2% | -2.78 | 1 | 9 |
| 348 |
|
35.9% | -2.90 | 0 | 14 |
| 349 |
|
35.6% | -3.00 | 0 | 24 |