All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
← Four Factors

Effective Field Goal Percentage

Field-goal shooting that credits a 3-pointer as 1.5 made shots.

(FGM + 0.5×3PM) ÷ FGA. A made three is worth 1.5 times a made two, so it counts as 1.5 makes; plain FG% undervalues teams that shoot a lot of threes.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 49.9%  ·  as of 2021-04-06

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.64 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 41.3% max 61.0% mean 49.9% std 3.1% (n=349)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Gonzaga 61.0% +3.61 100 32
2 Purdue Fort Wayne 58.2% +2.70 100 23
3 Liberty 56.9% +2.26 99 25
4 Furman 56.7% +2.20 99 22
5 Colgate 56.6% +2.18 99 16
6 South Dakota State 56.5% +2.16 99 22
7 Baylor 56.5% +2.16 98 30
8 Weber State 56.4% +2.10 98 20
9 Belmont 56.3% +2.07 98 30
10 Loyola Chicago 55.7% +1.87 97 29
11 Campbell 55.7% +1.87 97 25
12 Illinois 55.6% +1.83 97 31
13 Dayton 55.5% +1.81 97 24
14 Virginia 55.4% +1.79 96 25
15 Davidson 55.3% +1.74 96 21
16 Bellarmine 55.3% +1.74 96 20
17 Detroit Mercy 55.1% +1.68 95 22
18 UC San Diego 55.0% +1.67 95 14
19 Creighton 55.0% +1.66 95 31
20 Stephen F. Austin 55.0% +1.65 95 18
21 Wofford 54.9% +1.63 94 22
22 BYU 54.9% +1.63 94 26
23 Marshall 54.8% +1.61 94 22
24 Iowa 54.7% +1.57 93 31
25 Michigan 54.7% +1.56 93 28
26 Ohio 54.7% +1.55 93 24
27 Murray State 54.7% +1.55 93 24
28 UNC Asheville 54.6% +1.51 92 20
29 Wright State 54.4% +1.44 92 24
30 Mercer 54.3% +1.43 92 26
31 Eastern Washington 54.2% +1.41 91 23
32 Oregon 54.2% +1.41 91 28
33 Missouri State 54.2% +1.38 91 22
34 Colorado State 54.1% +1.36 91 27
35 Georgia Tech 54.1% +1.35 90 26
36 Florida State 54.0% +1.33 90 25
37 Toledo 54.0% +1.33 90 30
38 Notre Dame 53.9% +1.29 89 26
39 California Baptist 53.9% +1.28 89 19
40 North Texas 53.8% +1.28 89 27
41 VMI 53.8% +1.27 89 22
42 Wyoming 53.7% +1.24 88 25
43 Duke 53.6% +1.20 88 24
44 Drake 53.4% +1.15 88 29
45 Drexel 53.3% +1.11 87 20
46 Bryant 53.3% +1.10 87 21
47 Vermont 53.3% +1.09 87 15
48 Villanova 53.3% +1.09 86 25
49 South Dakota 53.2% +1.07 86 24
50 Evansville 53.2% +1.07 86 25
51 Maryland 53.2% +1.06 86 30
52 McNeese 53.1% +1.05 85 18
53 Florida 53.1% +1.05 85 25
54 Utah 53.1% +1.03 85 25
55 Richmond 53.1% +1.02 84 22
56 Oral Roberts 53.0% +1.01 84 26
57 NC State 52.9% +0.99 84 25
58 Ohio State 52.9% +0.98 84 31
59 Texas 52.9% +0.97 83 27
60 USC 52.7% +0.92 83 33
61 Rice 52.7% +0.90 83 25
62 North Florida 52.7% +0.90 82 21
63 American University 52.6% +0.88 82 10
64 Winthrop 52.6% +0.88 82 25
65 UC Santa Barbara 52.6% +0.87 82 25
66 UC Riverside 52.5% +0.86 81 22
67 Grand Canyon 52.5% +0.85 81 21
68 Jacksonville State 52.5% +0.83 81 25
69 Southern Utah 52.4% +0.81 80 19
70 San Diego State 52.4% +0.80 80 27
71 Colorado 52.4% +0.80 80 32
72 Gardner-Webb 52.4% +0.80 80 26
73 LSU 52.3% +0.77 79 29
74 Boise State 52.3% +0.77 79 27
75 New Orleans 52.3% +0.77 79 24
76 Virginia Tech 52.3% +0.77 78 22
77 Southern Illinois 52.2% +0.76 78 25
78 Morehead State 52.2% +0.75 78 29
79 SMU 52.2% +0.73 78 17
80 Xavier 52.1% +0.73 77 21
81 Air Force 52.1% +0.70 77 25
82 UCLA 52.0% +0.69 77 32
83 Siena 52.0% +0.69 76 17
84 Bucknell 52.0% +0.67 76 12
85 Western Carolina 51.8% +0.62 76 25
86 Fairleigh Dickinson 51.8% +0.62 76 24
87 The Citadel 51.8% +0.60 75 21
88 Texas State 51.7% +0.59 75 23
89 Army 51.7% +0.58 75 21
90 Alabama 51.7% +0.58 74 33
91 Loyola Marymount 51.7% +0.57 74 22
92 Charleston 51.6% +0.55 74 17
93 Saint Louis 51.6% +0.54 74 21
94 Northeastern 51.5% +0.53 73 19
95 Akron 51.5% +0.52 73 21
96 Merrimack 51.4% +0.49 73 18
97 Florida Atlantic 51.4% +0.48 72 19
98 Utah Valley 51.4% +0.48 72 20
99 Stanford 51.4% +0.48 72 27
100 Buffalo 51.4% +0.47 72 25
101 Ball State 51.3% +0.47 71 23
102 San Francisco 51.3% +0.46 71 25
103 Pepperdine 51.3% +0.45 71 25
104 Nevada 51.3% +0.44 70 25
105 Georgia State 51.3% +0.44 70 20
106 Northern Colorado 51.3% +0.44 70 19
107 Eastern Kentucky 51.2% +0.44 70 27
108 Cal State Fullerton 51.2% +0.44 69 15
109 Vanderbilt 51.2% +0.43 69 25
110 Syracuse 51.2% +0.43 69 28
111 Abilene Christian 51.2% +0.43 68 25
112 UMass Lowell 51.2% +0.43 68 23
113 Auburn 51.2% +0.42 68 27
114 Kansas City 51.2% +0.42 68 20
115 Oklahoma State 51.2% +0.42 67 30
116 Lipscomb 51.2% +0.41 67 23
117 Loyola Maryland 51.1% +0.39 67 17
118 Nicholls 51.0% +0.37 66 24
119 Purdue 51.0% +0.37 66 28
120 Memphis 50.9% +0.34 66 28
121 VCU 50.9% +0.32 66 26
122 Kent State 50.8% +0.31 65 22
123 South Alabama 50.8% +0.30 65 24
124 Hofstra 50.8% +0.30 65 23
125 Oklahoma 50.8% +0.29 64 27
126 Arkansas 50.8% +0.28 64 32
127 Missouri 50.8% +0.28 64 26
128 Georgia 50.7% +0.26 64 25
129 Iona 50.7% +0.26 63 18
130 Northern Kentucky 50.6% +0.23 63 25
131 Lafayette 50.6% +0.23 63 15
132 UNLV 50.6% +0.22 62 25
133 Sacramento State 50.6% +0.22 62 18
134 Long Beach State 50.6% +0.22 62 18
135 Marquette 50.6% +0.22 61 27
136 Hawai'i 50.6% +0.21 61 19
137 Arizona 50.5% +0.21 61 26
138 Miami (OH) 50.5% +0.21 61 22
139 Louisiana Tech 50.5% +0.21 60 31
140 Western Kentucky 50.5% +0.20 60 29
141 Cleveland State 50.5% +0.20 60 27
142 UAlbany 50.5% +0.20 59 16
143 Radford 50.5% +0.20 59 25
144 James Madison 50.5% +0.20 59 17
145 Robert Morris 50.5% +0.20 59 18
146 Florida International 50.5% +0.19 58 22
147 Stetson 50.4% +0.17 58 24
148 Chattanooga 50.4% +0.17 58 24
149 Little Rock 50.4% +0.17 57 25
150 St. John's 50.4% +0.16 57 27
151 Incarnate Word 50.4% +0.16 57 19
152 Illinois State 50.4% +0.16 57 24
153 Sam Houston 50.4% +0.16 56 24
154 Houston 50.4% +0.15 56 31
155 Austin Peay 50.4% +0.15 56 25
156 North Dakota State 50.4% +0.15 55 27
157 East Tennessee State 50.3% +0.15 55 23
158 Prairie View A&M 50.3% +0.14 55 21
159 UMBC 50.3% +0.12 55 20
160 Holy Cross 50.3% +0.12 54 16
161 Louisiana 50.2% +0.11 54 24
162 Northwestern 50.2% +0.11 54 23
163 Mississippi State 50.2% +0.09 53 33
164 Howard 50.2% +0.09 53 5
165 La Salle 50.1% +0.07 53 24
166 Tennessee Tech 50.1% +0.07 53 27
167 UCF 50.1% +0.06 52 23
168 Rutgers 50.1% +0.05 52 28
169 Navy 50.0% +0.05 52 18
170 Northern Iowa 50.0% +0.05 51 23
171 Seton Hall 50.0% +0.04 51 27
172 Massachusetts 50.0% +0.03 51 15
173 Clemson 50.0% +0.02 51 24
174 Bradley 49.9% +0.01 50 26
175 Hartford 49.9% +0.01 50 24
176 Wisconsin 49.9% +0.01 50 31
177 Southeast Missouri State 49.9% +0.00 49 27
178 TCU 49.9% -0.00 49 26
179 Longwood 49.9% -0.01 49 28
180 Denver 49.8% -0.02 49 20
181 Utah State 49.8% -0.03 48 28
182 George Washington 49.8% -0.04 48 17
183 St. Bonaventure 49.8% -0.05 48 21
184 Boston College 49.7% -0.05 47 20
185 Coastal Carolina 49.7% -0.05 47 22
186 UIC 49.7% -0.05 47 22
187 Montana State 49.7% -0.08 47 21
188 Boston University 49.6% -0.09 46 18
189 Tennessee 49.6% -0.10 46 27
190 Milwaukee 49.5% -0.12 46 22
191 Hampton 49.5% -0.12 45 25
192 St. Francis Brooklyn 49.5% -0.14 45 19
193 Delaware 49.5% -0.14 45 14
194 Georgetown 49.4% -0.15 45 26
195 Texas Tech 49.4% -0.15 44 29
196 Kansas 49.4% -0.15 44 29
197 California 49.4% -0.15 44 28
198 New Mexico State 49.4% -0.17 43 17
199 North Dakota 49.4% -0.17 43 26
200 UTSA 49.4% -0.17 43 22
201 Western Michigan 49.3% -0.19 43 20
202 Eastern Illinois 49.3% -0.20 42 27
203 Central Arkansas 49.3% -0.20 42 23
204 SIU Edwardsville 49.2% -0.22 42 25
205 Charlotte 49.2% -0.22 41 24
206 Arizona State 49.2% -0.22 41 25
207 Rhode Island 49.2% -0.23 41 25
208 Green Bay 49.2% -0.24 41 25
209 Wagner 49.1% -0.26 40 20
210 Marist 49.1% -0.27 40 21
211 South Carolina Upstate 49.0% -0.29 40 22
212 Tulsa 49.0% -0.30 39 21
213 Wake Forest 49.0% -0.30 39 21
214 IU Indianapolis 49.0% -0.30 39 18
215 UConn 49.0% -0.31 39 23
216 Oregon State 48.9% -0.31 38 32
217 West Virginia 48.9% -0.32 38 29
218 Binghamton 48.9% -0.33 38 18
219 Washington 48.9% -0.33 37 26
220 Northwestern State 48.9% -0.33 37 28
221 Indiana State 48.9% -0.34 37 24
222 Montana 48.9% -0.34 36 23
223 George Mason 48.8% -0.34 36 22
224 Fresno State 48.8% -0.36 36 22
225 Pittsburgh 48.8% -0.36 36 22
226 Jacksonville 48.8% -0.36 35 22
227 Houston Christian 48.7% -0.38 35 24
228 Youngstown State 48.7% -0.38 35 23
229 Ole Miss 48.7% -0.39 34 28
230 Central Michigan 48.7% -0.40 34 20
231 Oakland 48.7% -0.40 34 30
232 Morgan State 48.7% -0.40 34 19
233 Norfolk State 48.6% -0.41 33 23
234 Tarleton State 48.6% -0.41 33 15
235 Florida A&M 48.6% -0.41 33 20
236 UNC Wilmington 48.6% -0.42 32 16
237 Old Dominion 48.6% -0.42 32 22
238 Coppin State 48.6% -0.42 32 22
239 UAB 48.6% -0.42 32 27
240 Mount St. Mary's 48.6% -0.42 31 23
241 Saint Joseph's 48.6% -0.42 31 20
242 Idaho 48.5% -0.44 31 22
243 Indiana 48.5% -0.44 30 27
244 Central Connecticut 48.5% -0.44 30 21
245 Monmouth 48.5% -0.44 30 20
246 Cal State Bakersfield 48.4% -0.50 30 24
247 Cincinnati 48.4% -0.50 29 23
248 Cal State Northridge 48.4% -0.50 29 21
249 Providence 48.3% -0.51 29 26
250 North Carolina 48.3% -0.52 28 29
251 Rider 48.3% -0.52 28 23
252 Elon 48.3% -0.52 28 18
253 Nebraska 48.2% -0.54 28 26
254 UL Monroe 48.2% -0.54 27 26
255 UC Davis 48.2% -0.56 27 17
256 North Alabama 48.1% -0.58 27 20
257 Michigan State 48.1% -0.59 26 28
258 Arkansas State 48.0% -0.60 26 21
259 Sacred Heart 48.0% -0.60 26 18
260 Iowa State 48.0% -0.61 26 24
261 Southern 48.0% -0.61 25 19
262 Northern Arizona 48.0% -0.62 25 22
263 Georgia Southern 48.0% -0.63 25 22
264 UNC Greensboro 47.9% -0.65 24 30
265 Washington State 47.9% -0.65 24 27
266 Samford 47.9% -0.66 24 17
267 Penn State 47.9% -0.66 24 25
268 Saint Francis 47.8% -0.67 23 22
269 Pacific 47.8% -0.68 23 17
270 Saint Mary's 47.8% -0.69 23 24
271 Louisville 47.8% -0.69 22 20
272 Grambling 47.8% -0.69 22 23
273 Texas Southern 47.7% -0.72 22 25
274 Florida Gulf Coast 47.7% -0.73 22 16
275 Santa Clara 47.7% -0.73 21 19
276 Duquesne 47.6% -0.73 21 18
277 Bowling Green 47.6% -0.75 21 25
278 Texas A&M 47.6% -0.76 20 18
279 UTEP 47.5% -0.78 20 21
280 Butler 47.5% -0.78 20 25
281 Miami 47.4% -0.82 20 27
282 UC Irvine 47.3% -0.83 19 25
283 Southern Miss 47.3% -0.85 19 23
284 Long Island University 47.3% -0.85 19 18
285 Valparaiso 47.2% -0.88 18 26
286 Kansas State 47.2% -0.88 18 28
287 Idaho State 47.2% -0.89 18 19
288 Lehigh 47.1% -0.90 18 15
289 Kentucky 47.1% -0.91 17 25
290 Wichita State 47.1% -0.92 17 20
291 Tennessee State 47.0% -0.93 17 22
292 Canisius 47.0% -0.94 16 13
293 App State 46.9% -0.96 16 25
294 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 46.9% -0.97 16 21
295 North Carolina Central 46.9% -0.98 16 13
296 Quinnipiac 46.9% -0.98 15 22
297 Temple 46.7% -1.03 15 16
298 South Carolina 46.7% -1.04 15 21
299 Eastern Michigan 46.7% -1.04 14 15
300 Presbyterian 46.7% -1.04 14 21
301 Niagara 46.6% -1.07 14 20
302 Charleston Southern 46.5% -1.10 14 20
303 Seattle U 46.5% -1.11 13 19
304 San Diego 46.4% -1.13 13 14
305 Queens University 46.4% -1.15 13 3
306 Omaha 46.3% -1.17 12 25
307 Portland 46.3% -1.18 12 18
308 DePaul 46.1% -1.22 12 19
309 William & Mary 46.1% -1.23 11 17
310 UT Arlington 46.0% -1.25 11 23
311 Stony Brook 46.0% -1.26 11 22
312 Lamar 46.0% -1.27 11 28
313 NJIT 45.9% -1.29 10 19
314 High Point 45.8% -1.33 10 24
315 Kennesaw State 45.8% -1.34 10 21
316 Western Illinois 45.7% -1.35 9 21
317 Delaware State 45.7% -1.36 9 17
318 Saint Peter's 45.6% -1.39 9 25
319 UT Martin 45.6% -1.40 9 23
320 Utah Tech 45.5% -1.44 8 19
321 Fairfield 45.4% -1.45 8 27
322 Towson 45.4% -1.46 8 18
323 Middle Tennessee 45.4% -1.47 7 22
324 SE Louisiana 45.4% -1.47 7 26
325 New Hampshire 45.3% -1.48 7 18
326 North Carolina A&T 45.3% -1.50 7 19
327 East Carolina 45.2% -1.51 6 18
328 Maine 45.1% -1.54 6 9
329 South Florida 45.1% -1.56 6 21
330 Minnesota 45.0% -1.58 5 29
331 South Carolina State 44.8% -1.66 5 18
332 Alabama A&M 44.8% -1.67 5 15
333 San José State 44.7% -1.70 5 19
334 Jackson State 44.5% -1.74 4 18
335 Cal Poly 44.5% -1.76 4 23
336 Northern Illinois 44.4% -1.77 4 19
337 Troy 44.4% -1.77 3 25
338 Portland State 44.4% -1.78 3 18
339 Alcorn State 44.4% -1.78 3 19
340 Tulane 44.2% -1.83 3 23
341 New Mexico 43.9% -1.94 2 20
342 Mississippi Valley State 43.6% -2.05 2 24
343 Alabama State 43.5% -2.09 2 18
344 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 43.2% -2.18 1 25
345 UT Rio Grande Valley 43.0% -2.24 1 15
346 Mercyhurst 42.7% -2.32 1 1
347 Manhattan 42.6% -2.36 1 20
348 Fordham 41.4% -2.75 0 14
349 Chicago State 41.3% -2.77 0 9