Ich lieb dich nicht; Du liebst mich nicht. "Da da da" - Trio

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.59 (team entering with the better value wins 57% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 62.1% max 80.3% mean 72.0% std 3.2% (n=349)

Team Rankings

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# Team Defensive Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 North Dakota State 80.3% +2.63 100 27
2 Loyola Marymount 79.2% +2.28 100 22
3 Loyola Chicago 79.1% +2.24 99 29
4 South Dakota State 78.9% +2.20 99 22
5 Utah State 78.6% +2.09 99 28
6 Saint Mary's 78.2% +1.97 99 24
7 Northern Iowa 78.2% +1.97 98 23
8 New Hampshire 78.0% +1.89 98 18
9 Saint Louis 77.9% +1.88 98 21
10 Illinois 77.9% +1.86 97 31
11 Winthrop 77.9% +1.86 97 25
12 Missouri State 77.8% +1.83 97 22
13 Davidson 77.6% +1.79 97 21
14 Virginia 77.4% +1.73 96 25
15 Liberty 77.2% +1.66 96 25
16 Elon 77.2% +1.65 96 18
17 Western Illinois 76.9% +1.55 95 21
18 Vermont 76.8% +1.54 95 15
19 Grand Canyon 76.8% +1.53 95 21
20 Southern Miss 76.8% +1.52 95 23
21 Florida Atlantic 76.7% +1.49 94 19
22 BYU 76.5% +1.44 94 26
23 Boise State 76.5% +1.43 94 27
24 Portland State 76.4% +1.41 93 18
25 Southeast Missouri State 76.4% +1.38 93 27
26 UC Riverside 76.3% +1.37 93 22
27 Lehigh 76.3% +1.36 93 15
28 Pacific 76.3% +1.36 92 17
29 Memphis 76.3% +1.36 92 28
30 Gonzaga 76.2% +1.34 92 32
31 Southern Utah 76.1% +1.30 91 19
32 Utah Valley 76.0% +1.27 91 20
33 Drexel 75.9% +1.24 91 20
34 North Alabama 75.9% +1.24 91 20
35 Louisiana Tech 75.9% +1.24 90 31
36 Evansville 75.8% +1.22 90 25
37 Western Kentucky 75.8% +1.20 90 29
38 Purdue 75.7% +1.19 89 28
39 George Mason 75.7% +1.18 89 22
40 Nevada 75.7% +1.18 89 25
41 UMBC 75.7% +1.18 89 20
42 San Diego State 75.7% +1.17 88 27
43 UC Santa Barbara 75.7% +1.17 88 25
44 Virginia Tech 75.6% +1.16 88 22
45 Arizona 75.6% +1.14 87 26
46 Northern Colorado 75.6% +1.14 87 19
47 South Dakota 75.6% +1.13 87 24
48 Western Carolina 75.5% +1.12 86 25
49 Weber State 75.5% +1.12 86 20
50 Radford 75.5% +1.11 86 25
51 Army 75.5% +1.11 86 21
52 San Francisco 75.5% +1.10 85 25
53 Kansas City 75.4% +1.10 85 20
54 Michigan 75.3% +1.05 85 28
55 Charlotte 75.3% +1.05 84 24
56 UC Irvine 75.3% +1.04 84 25
57 Penn State 75.2% +1.04 84 25
58 Santa Clara 75.1% +1.00 84 19
59 Mount St. Mary's 75.1% +1.00 83 23
60 Navy 75.0% +0.97 83 18
61 UNLV 75.0% +0.96 83 25
62 Wright State 75.0% +0.95 82 24
63 Fresno State 75.0% +0.95 82 22
64 UCLA 74.9% +0.94 82 32
65 Chattanooga 74.9% +0.93 82 24
66 California 74.9% +0.92 81 28
67 Wisconsin 74.9% +0.91 81 31
68 Butler 74.8% +0.91 81 25
69 Kennesaw State 74.8% +0.90 80 21
70 Morehead State 74.8% +0.90 80 29
71 Colgate 74.8% +0.90 80 16
72 Drake 74.8% +0.89 80 29
73 IU Indianapolis 74.7% +0.86 79 18
74 Cincinnati 74.7% +0.86 79 23
75 UTEP 74.6% +0.83 79 21
76 UAB 74.6% +0.83 78 27
77 Marist 74.6% +0.83 78 21
78 Samford 74.5% +0.81 78 17
79 Southern Illinois 74.4% +0.78 78 25
80 Loyola Maryland 74.4% +0.77 77 17
81 Massachusetts 74.4% +0.77 77 15
82 Colorado 74.4% +0.77 77 32
83 San Diego 74.4% +0.76 76 14
84 Hawai'i 74.4% +0.76 76 19
85 Eastern Washington 74.4% +0.75 76 23
86 Villanova 74.3% +0.75 76 25
87 The Citadel 74.3% +0.74 75 21
88 UNC Greensboro 74.3% +0.73 75 30
89 Cal State Bakersfield 74.3% +0.73 75 24
90 VMI 74.3% +0.72 74 22
91 Northwestern 74.2% +0.69 74 23
92 Wake Forest 74.1% +0.67 74 21
93 Middle Tennessee 74.1% +0.66 74 22
94 Old Dominion 74.0% +0.66 73 22
95 Washington State 74.0% +0.65 73 27
96 Murray State 74.0% +0.65 73 24
97 Charleston 74.0% +0.64 72 17
98 Mercer 74.0% +0.64 72 26
99 Denver 73.9% +0.61 72 20
100 Louisville 73.8% +0.59 72 20
101 Boston University 73.8% +0.59 71 18
102 Delaware 73.8% +0.59 71 14
103 Pittsburgh 73.8% +0.59 71 22
104 Bradley 73.8% +0.58 70 26
105 Miami 73.7% +0.56 70 27
106 Idaho State 73.7% +0.55 70 19
107 Northeastern 73.7% +0.55 70 19
108 Illinois State 73.7% +0.54 69 24
109 Michigan State 73.7% +0.54 69 28
110 Valparaiso 73.7% +0.53 69 26
111 Troy 73.6% +0.53 68 25
112 Queens University 73.6% +0.52 68 3
113 Coastal Carolina 73.6% +0.52 68 22
114 Jackson State 73.6% +0.52 68 18
115 North Carolina 73.6% +0.52 67 29
116 Maryland 73.5% +0.50 67 30
117 Arkansas 73.5% +0.50 67 32
118 Texas State 73.5% +0.49 66 23
119 New Mexico State 73.5% +0.48 66 17
120 East Tennessee State 73.5% +0.48 66 23
121 South Florida 73.5% +0.48 66 21
122 Texas Southern 73.5% +0.47 65 25
123 Fairfield 73.4% +0.47 65 27
124 Southern 73.4% +0.47 65 19
125 Pepperdine 73.4% +0.46 64 25
126 UMass Lowell 73.4% +0.45 64 23
127 Rhode Island 73.4% +0.45 64 25
128 Ohio 73.3% +0.44 64 24
129 North Dakota 73.3% +0.43 63 26
130 Colorado State 73.3% +0.42 63 27
131 Omaha 73.3% +0.42 63 25
132 Rider 73.3% +0.41 62 23
133 Canisius 73.2% +0.40 62 13
134 Stetson 73.2% +0.40 62 24
135 Buffalo 73.2% +0.39 61 25
136 Milwaukee 73.2% +0.39 61 22
137 Kansas 73.2% +0.39 61 29
138 Iona 73.1% +0.37 61 18
139 UTSA 73.1% +0.36 60 22
140 Georgetown 73.1% +0.35 60 26
141 Clemson 73.1% +0.35 60 24
142 Montana State 73.0% +0.33 59 21
143 Ohio State 73.0% +0.33 59 31
144 Siena 72.9% +0.31 59 17
145 Stony Brook 72.9% +0.30 59 22
146 Stephen F. Austin 72.8% +0.27 58 18
147 Xavier 72.7% +0.24 58 21
148 Ole Miss 72.7% +0.24 58 28
149 Longwood 72.7% +0.23 57 28
150 UAlbany 72.7% +0.23 57 16
151 Rice 72.6% +0.21 57 25
152 Indiana 72.6% +0.20 57 27
153 Indiana State 72.6% +0.20 56 24
154 Furman 72.6% +0.20 56 22
155 Texas 72.5% +0.18 56 27
156 Mississippi State 72.5% +0.16 55 33
157 Belmont 72.5% +0.16 55 30
158 UC Davis 72.4% +0.14 55 17
159 UIC 72.4% +0.12 55 22
160 Oregon 72.3% +0.12 54 28
161 Binghamton 72.3% +0.12 54 18
162 North Texas 72.3% +0.12 54 27
163 Oklahoma 72.3% +0.10 53 27
164 East Carolina 72.3% +0.10 53 18
165 Saint Peter's 72.2% +0.09 53 25
166 Tennessee Tech 72.2% +0.08 53 27
167 Wyoming 72.2% +0.08 52 25
168 Quinnipiac 72.2% +0.07 52 22
169 Abilene Christian 72.1% +0.06 52 25
170 Houston 72.1% +0.06 51 31
171 Louisiana 72.1% +0.05 51 24
172 Kansas State 72.1% +0.05 51 28
173 Northern Arizona 72.1% +0.05 51 22
174 Sacramento State 72.0% +0.03 50 18
175 Arkansas State 72.0% +0.03 50 21
176 Little Rock 72.0% +0.02 50 25
177 Wofford 72.0% +0.02 49 22
178 Jacksonville State 72.0% +0.01 49 25
179 California Baptist 72.0% +0.01 49 19
180 Gardner-Webb 71.9% -0.01 49 26
181 Wagner 71.9% -0.01 48 20
182 Temple 71.9% -0.03 48 16
183 McNeese 71.9% -0.03 48 18
184 James Madison 71.8% -0.04 47 17
185 High Point 71.8% -0.05 47 24
186 USC 71.7% -0.07 47 33
187 Marshall 71.7% -0.09 47 22
188 Bucknell 71.7% -0.09 46 12
189 Marquette 71.7% -0.09 46 27
190 Creighton 71.7% -0.10 46 31
191 Lipscomb 71.6% -0.12 45 23
192 Nicholls 71.6% -0.12 45 24
193 Presbyterian 71.6% -0.12 45 21
194 Niagara 71.6% -0.13 45 20
195 Long Island University 71.5% -0.13 44 18
196 Lafayette 71.5% -0.13 44 15
197 Central Arkansas 71.5% -0.15 44 23
198 George Washington 71.5% -0.15 43 17
199 Monmouth 71.5% -0.16 43 20
200 Vanderbilt 71.4% -0.17 43 25
201 Bellarmine 71.4% -0.18 43 20
202 Kent State 71.4% -0.18 42 22
203 Boston College 71.3% -0.19 42 20
204 Richmond 71.3% -0.20 42 22
205 Stanford 71.3% -0.20 41 27
206 Lamar 71.3% -0.21 41 28
207 Saint Francis 71.3% -0.21 41 22
208 Tennessee 71.2% -0.25 41 27
209 Akron 71.2% -0.25 40 21
210 Missouri 71.2% -0.25 40 26
211 Cal State Northridge 71.1% -0.27 40 21
212 Hofstra 71.1% -0.28 39 23
213 Nebraska 71.1% -0.28 39 26
214 Miami (OH) 71.0% -0.30 39 22
215 Youngstown State 71.0% -0.30 39 23
216 Dayton 71.0% -0.31 38 24
217 Hartford 71.0% -0.31 38 24
218 Duke 71.0% -0.32 38 24
219 St. Bonaventure 70.9% -0.32 37 21
220 Cal State Fullerton 70.9% -0.33 37 15
221 Iowa 70.9% -0.33 37 31
222 Alabama 70.8% -0.35 36 33
223 Montana 70.8% -0.36 36 23
224 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 70.8% -0.36 36 21
225 NJIT 70.8% -0.36 36 19
226 Detroit Mercy 70.8% -0.37 35 22
227 SMU 70.8% -0.37 35 17
228 Green Bay 70.7% -0.39 35 25
229 TCU 70.7% -0.40 34 26
230 Norfolk State 70.7% -0.40 34 23
231 Western Michigan 70.6% -0.41 34 20
232 La Salle 70.6% -0.42 34 24
233 Alabama A&M 70.6% -0.42 33 15
234 Bowling Green 70.5% -0.46 33 25
235 Morgan State 70.5% -0.46 33 19
236 UConn 70.5% -0.46 32 23
237 Utah 70.5% -0.47 32 25
238 Alabama State 70.4% -0.48 32 18
239 Eastern Illinois 70.4% -0.48 32 27
240 Florida Gulf Coast 70.4% -0.48 31 16
241 Manhattan 70.4% -0.50 31 20
242 Austin Peay 70.4% -0.50 31 25
243 Idaho 70.3% -0.51 30 22
244 New Mexico 70.3% -0.51 30 20
245 Rutgers 70.3% -0.52 30 28
246 South Carolina Upstate 70.3% -0.53 30 22
247 Seton Hall 70.2% -0.55 29 27
248 Notre Dame 70.2% -0.55 29 26
249 Cal Poly 70.1% -0.57 29 23
250 Providence 70.1% -0.57 28 26
251 Oregon State 70.1% -0.60 28 32
252 American University 70.1% -0.60 28 10
253 Texas Tech 70.0% -0.62 28 29
254 SE Louisiana 70.0% -0.63 27 26
255 Arizona State 69.9% -0.64 27 25
256 Duquesne 69.9% -0.64 27 18
257 Seattle U 69.9% -0.65 26 19
258 Oklahoma State 69.8% -0.68 26 30
259 App State 69.8% -0.68 26 25
260 Texas A&M 69.8% -0.69 26 18
261 Eastern Kentucky 69.8% -0.69 25 27
262 St. Francis Brooklyn 69.7% -0.71 25 19
263 St. John's 69.7% -0.72 25 27
264 Fordham 69.6% -0.73 24 14
265 Towson 69.6% -0.74 24 18
266 Georgia Tech 69.6% -0.74 24 26
267 Bryant 69.6% -0.75 24 21
268 Maine 69.5% -0.77 23 9
269 Kentucky 69.5% -0.78 23 25
270 Ball State 69.5% -0.78 23 23
271 Alcorn State 69.5% -0.79 22 19
272 Tulane 69.4% -0.80 22 23
273 Baylor 69.4% -0.81 22 30
274 Howard 69.4% -0.81 22 5
275 Jacksonville 69.4% -0.81 21 22
276 Tennessee State 69.4% -0.82 21 22
277 Florida 69.3% -0.84 21 25
278 Toledo 69.2% -0.86 20 30
279 Portland 69.2% -0.86 20 18
280 Purdue Fort Wayne 69.2% -0.87 20 23
281 Campbell 69.1% -0.91 20 25
282 Saint Joseph's 69.1% -0.91 19 20
283 Georgia Southern 69.0% -0.92 19 22
284 Houston Christian 68.8% -0.99 19 24
285 West Virginia 68.8% -1.01 18 29
286 South Carolina 68.7% -1.02 18 21
287 Northern Illinois 68.7% -1.03 18 19
288 Charleston Southern 68.7% -1.04 18 20
289 Minnesota 68.6% -1.04 17 29
290 UNC Wilmington 68.6% -1.06 17 16
291 Prairie View A&M 68.6% -1.07 17 21
292 UCF 68.5% -1.08 16 23
293 Long Beach State 68.5% -1.09 16 18
294 Holy Cross 68.5% -1.09 16 16
295 DePaul 68.4% -1.11 16 19
296 VCU 68.4% -1.11 15 26
297 Eastern Michigan 68.4% -1.13 15 15
298 Merrimack 68.4% -1.14 15 18
299 Tarleton State 68.3% -1.14 14 15
300 UC San Diego 68.3% -1.14 14 14
301 Florida State 68.3% -1.14 14 25
302 NC State 68.3% -1.15 14 25
303 Northwestern State 68.3% -1.15 13 28
304 William & Mary 68.2% -1.17 13 17
305 Grambling 68.2% -1.17 13 23
306 Sacred Heart 68.2% -1.18 12 18
307 SIU Edwardsville 68.2% -1.18 12 25
308 Florida A&M 68.2% -1.18 12 20
309 Auburn 68.2% -1.19 11 27
310 UL Monroe 68.1% -1.20 11 26
311 Hampton 68.1% -1.21 11 25
312 New Orleans 68.0% -1.26 11 24
313 LSU 67.9% -1.27 10 29
314 Tulsa 67.9% -1.29 10 21
315 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 67.8% -1.31 10 25
316 Central Michigan 67.8% -1.32 9 20
317 Georgia 67.7% -1.33 9 25
318 Delaware State 67.7% -1.34 9 17
319 UT Arlington 67.6% -1.39 9 23
320 Cleveland State 67.5% -1.41 8 27
321 Incarnate Word 67.5% -1.42 8 19
322 Georgia State 67.5% -1.42 8 20
323 Coppin State 67.4% -1.42 7 22
324 Utah Tech 67.4% -1.43 7 19
325 Sam Houston 67.3% -1.46 7 24
326 Northern Kentucky 67.3% -1.47 7 25
327 Central Connecticut 67.1% -1.52 6 21
328 UT Martin 67.1% -1.54 6 23
329 South Alabama 67.0% -1.56 6 24
330 Iowa State 67.0% -1.57 5 24
331 UNC Asheville 66.8% -1.62 5 20
332 Fairleigh Dickinson 66.8% -1.63 5 24
333 Wichita State 66.7% -1.67 5 20
334 Oral Roberts 66.5% -1.72 4 26
335 Robert Morris 66.5% -1.74 4 18
336 North Carolina Central 66.4% -1.74 4 13
337 Florida International 66.4% -1.74 3 22
338 Oakland 66.4% -1.75 3 30
339 Syracuse 66.0% -1.89 3 28
340 South Carolina State 66.0% -1.89 3 18
341 UT Rio Grande Valley 65.9% -1.91 2 15
342 Mercyhurst 65.6% -2.00 2 1
343 Washington 65.6% -2.01 2 26
344 San José State 64.6% -2.33 1 19
345 Air Force 64.5% -2.36 1 25
346 Mississippi Valley State 64.2% -2.43 1 24
347 North Florida 64.2% -2.46 1 21
348 North Carolina A&T 63.7% -2.61 0 19
349 Chicago State 62.1% -3.12 0 9