Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 34.8% max 67.2% mean 51.5% std 5.3% (n=349)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.56 (team entering with the better value wins 54% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Assisted Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 East Carolina 67.2% +2.93 100 18
2 Abilene Christian 66.5% +2.79 100 25
3 Iowa 64.4% +2.40 99 31
4 UC San Diego 64.2% +2.36 99 14
5 Michigan State 63.7% +2.27 99 28
6 Saint Louis 63.0% +2.14 99 21
7 Maine 62.8% +2.10 98 9
8 Xavier 62.6% +2.08 98 21
9 Utah Tech 61.7% +1.90 98 19
10 Temple 61.5% +1.86 97 16
11 Belmont 61.2% +1.80 97 30
12 Long Island University 61.2% +1.80 97 18
13 California Baptist 61.1% +1.79 97 19
14 Cincinnati 60.8% +1.73 96 23
15 Loyola Chicago 60.8% +1.72 96 29
16 Utah State 60.7% +1.71 96 28
17 Memphis 60.7% +1.70 95 28
18 Utah Valley 60.5% +1.68 95 20
19 Arizona 60.4% +1.66 95 26
20 Howard 60.2% +1.61 95 5
21 Lafayette 60.0% +1.58 94 15
22 McNeese 59.9% +1.56 94 18
23 Ohio 59.5% +1.49 94 24
24 Fordham 59.5% +1.49 93 14
25 Oregon State 59.4% +1.47 93 32
26 Grambling 59.4% +1.46 93 23
27 Southeast Missouri State 59.4% +1.46 93 27
28 Rice 59.3% +1.44 92 25
29 Air Force 59.0% +1.39 92 25
30 Tennessee 58.8% +1.36 92 27
31 Prairie View A&M 58.7% +1.34 91 21
32 Kansas State 58.7% +1.34 91 28
33 UC Santa Barbara 58.5% +1.29 91 25
34 Pepperdine 58.4% +1.28 91 25
35 UL Monroe 58.3% +1.26 90 26
36 Tennessee Tech 58.2% +1.25 90 27
37 Murray State 58.2% +1.24 90 24
38 Drexel 58.0% +1.20 89 20
39 Pittsburgh 57.9% +1.20 89 22
40 Northwestern 57.9% +1.20 89 23
41 Robert Morris 57.9% +1.19 89 18
42 Davidson 57.8% +1.16 88 21
43 Utah 57.6% +1.14 88 25
44 Indiana 57.5% +1.11 88 27
45 Michigan 57.5% +1.11 87 28
46 Oakland 57.4% +1.10 87 30
47 Southern 57.4% +1.10 87 19
48 Liberty 57.4% +1.09 86 25
49 Southern Illinois 57.3% +1.08 86 25
50 Villanova 57.1% +1.04 86 25
51 Nevada 57.1% +1.04 86 25
52 Georgia Tech 57.1% +1.03 85 26
53 SMU 57.0% +1.02 85 17
54 Notre Dame 57.0% +1.02 85 26
55 Colgate 57.0% +1.01 84 16
56 Colorado State 56.9% +1.01 84 27
57 Massachusetts 56.9% +0.99 84 15
58 Tulsa 56.8% +0.98 84 21
59 Clemson 56.8% +0.98 83 24
60 Mercer 56.8% +0.97 83 26
61 Saint Joseph's 56.7% +0.97 83 20
62 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 56.7% +0.97 82 21
63 Minnesota 56.7% +0.96 82 29
64 UT Rio Grande Valley 56.6% +0.94 82 15
65 St. John's 56.5% +0.92 82 27
66 St. Bonaventure 56.5% +0.92 81 21
67 Furman 56.4% +0.91 81 22
68 Syracuse 56.4% +0.91 81 28
69 Duke 56.4% +0.90 80 24
70 Toledo 56.3% +0.90 80 30
71 Auburn 56.3% +0.88 80 27
72 Georgia State 56.2% +0.87 80 20
73 Grand Canyon 56.1% +0.86 79 21
74 Virginia Tech 56.1% +0.85 79 22
75 Sacred Heart 55.9% +0.82 79 18
76 New Orleans 55.9% +0.81 78 24
77 Purdue 55.9% +0.81 78 28
78 Gonzaga 55.7% +0.78 78 32
79 Illinois 55.7% +0.77 78 31
80 BYU 55.6% +0.77 77 26
81 Wofford 55.4% +0.73 77 22
82 Cal Poly 55.4% +0.72 77 23
83 Tulane 55.3% +0.71 76 23
84 Houston Christian 55.3% +0.71 76 24
85 North Carolina 55.3% +0.70 76 29
86 Baylor 55.3% +0.70 76 30
87 Quinnipiac 55.2% +0.69 75 22
88 Creighton 55.2% +0.69 75 31
89 Little Rock 55.2% +0.68 75 25
90 Arkansas State 55.2% +0.68 74 21
91 Bellarmine 55.1% +0.67 74 20
92 Vermont 55.1% +0.66 74 15
93 Duquesne 55.0% +0.65 74 18
94 Mississippi Valley State 55.0% +0.65 73 24
95 Campbell 55.0% +0.64 73 25
96 Iona 54.9% +0.63 73 18
97 Dayton 54.9% +0.63 72 24
98 Virginia 54.8% +0.62 72 25
99 Nebraska 54.6% +0.57 72 26
100 Coastal Carolina 54.6% +0.56 72 22
101 San Diego State 54.5% +0.55 71 27
102 Eastern Washington 54.5% +0.55 71 23
103 TCU 54.4% +0.53 71 26
104 Idaho 54.4% +0.53 70 22
105 Texas A&M 54.4% +0.53 70 18
106 SIU Edwardsville 54.3% +0.52 70 25
107 Texas State 54.2% +0.50 70 23
108 Wyoming 54.1% +0.47 69 25
109 Coppin State 54.1% +0.47 69 22
110 Monmouth 54.1% +0.47 69 20
111 Manhattan 54.0% +0.46 68 20
112 Wisconsin 54.0% +0.45 68 31
113 Western Kentucky 53.9% +0.44 68 29
114 Butler 53.8% +0.43 68 25
115 UC Riverside 53.8% +0.43 67 22
116 Maryland 53.8% +0.42 67 30
117 Winthrop 53.8% +0.42 67 25
118 Florida International 53.8% +0.41 66 22
119 Green Bay 53.7% +0.39 66 25
120 Stetson 53.5% +0.36 66 24
121 Central Arkansas 53.4% +0.35 66 23
122 Sam Houston 53.4% +0.35 65 24
123 North Carolina A&T 53.4% +0.34 65 19
124 Loyola Marymount 53.3% +0.33 65 22
125 Valparaiso 53.3% +0.33 64 26
126 Providence 53.3% +0.32 64 26
127 Cal State Bakersfield 53.2% +0.32 64 24
128 UIC 53.2% +0.31 64 22
129 Eastern Kentucky 53.2% +0.31 63 27
130 Marshall 53.2% +0.31 63 22
131 Wichita State 53.1% +0.28 63 20
132 Florida A&M 53.0% +0.27 62 20
133 West Virginia 52.9% +0.26 62 29
134 Cleveland State 52.9% +0.26 62 27
135 Georgia 52.9% +0.26 61 25
136 IU Indianapolis 52.9% +0.25 61 18
137 Kansas 52.8% +0.24 61 29
138 Saint Peter's 52.8% +0.23 61 25
139 Army 52.7% +0.22 60 21
140 The Citadel 52.7% +0.22 60 21
141 Richmond 52.7% +0.22 60 22
142 Niagara 52.7% +0.21 59 20
143 Detroit Mercy 52.7% +0.21 59 22
144 Kent State 52.7% +0.21 59 22
145 Colorado 52.7% +0.21 59 32
146 VCU 52.7% +0.21 58 26
147 Morgan State 52.6% +0.20 58 19
148 Jacksonville State 52.6% +0.20 58 25
149 Penn State 52.6% +0.19 57 25
150 UCF 52.6% +0.19 57 23
151 San Diego 52.6% +0.19 57 14
152 Florida State 52.4% +0.16 57 25
153 Portland 52.3% +0.15 56 18
154 Siena 52.3% +0.14 56 17
155 UT Martin 52.3% +0.14 56 23
156 South Dakota 52.3% +0.13 55 24
157 Vanderbilt 52.2% +0.12 55 25
158 New Mexico 52.2% +0.12 55 20
159 Purdue Fort Wayne 52.1% +0.11 55 23
160 Saint Francis 52.1% +0.11 54 22
161 Houston 52.1% +0.10 54 31
162 VMI 52.1% +0.10 54 22
163 Gardner-Webb 52.1% +0.10 53 26
164 North Texas 52.1% +0.10 53 27
165 Bryant 52.0% +0.09 53 21
166 Wright State 52.0% +0.08 53 24
167 California 51.9% +0.07 52 28
168 Ball State 51.9% +0.06 52 23
169 Buffalo 51.8% +0.05 52 25
170 Rutgers 51.8% +0.05 51 28
171 Washington State 51.8% +0.05 51 27
172 High Point 51.8% +0.04 51 24
173 Incarnate Word 51.7% +0.04 51 19
174 Central Connecticut 51.7% +0.03 50 21
175 Delaware 51.7% +0.03 50 14
176 Georgetown 51.7% +0.03 50 26
177 Bradley 51.7% +0.02 49 26
178 Missouri 51.6% +0.02 49 26
179 American University 51.6% +0.01 49 10
180 Boise State 51.6% +0.01 49 27
181 Lipscomb 51.6% +0.01 48 23
182 Seton Hall 51.6% +0.00 48 27
183 Charlotte 51.5% -0.00 48 24
184 Tarleton State 51.5% -0.01 47 15
185 Morehead State 51.5% -0.01 47 29
186 South Carolina Upstate 51.5% -0.01 47 22
187 Canisius 51.4% -0.03 47 13
188 Texas Tech 51.4% -0.03 46 29
189 North Florida 51.3% -0.05 46 21
190 New Mexico State 51.2% -0.06 46 17
191 Northeastern 51.2% -0.06 45 19
192 Kentucky 51.1% -0.09 45 25
193 Cal State Northridge 51.1% -0.09 45 21
194 UCLA 51.1% -0.09 45 32
195 Northern Iowa 51.0% -0.10 44 23
196 Stephen F. Austin 51.0% -0.11 44 18
197 Evansville 51.0% -0.11 44 25
198 Eastern Illinois 50.9% -0.12 43 27
199 Texas 50.9% -0.13 43 27
200 Missouri State 50.7% -0.16 43 22
201 USC 50.7% -0.17 43 33
202 Mississippi State 50.6% -0.17 42 33
203 South Dakota State 50.6% -0.17 42 22
204 Troy 50.6% -0.17 42 25
205 Montana 50.6% -0.19 41 23
206 Mount St. Mary's 50.5% -0.20 41 23
207 Marquette 50.4% -0.22 41 27
208 Rider 50.4% -0.22 41 23
209 Alabama 50.2% -0.25 40 33
210 Louisiana Tech 50.2% -0.25 40 31
211 Southern Miss 50.2% -0.26 40 23
212 UNLV 50.2% -0.26 39 25
213 James Madison 50.1% -0.27 39 17
214 St. Francis Brooklyn 50.0% -0.29 39 19
215 Oregon 49.9% -0.30 39 28
216 UT Arlington 49.9% -0.31 38 23
217 Cal State Fullerton 49.9% -0.31 38 15
218 Oklahoma 49.9% -0.32 38 27
219 Arizona State 49.8% -0.32 37 25
220 Arkansas 49.8% -0.32 37 32
221 Weber State 49.8% -0.32 37 20
222 Stony Brook 49.8% -0.33 36 22
223 Merrimack 49.8% -0.33 36 18
224 Wake Forest 49.7% -0.35 36 21
225 George Mason 49.7% -0.35 36 22
226 Ohio State 49.6% -0.37 35 31
227 Lamar 49.6% -0.37 35 28
228 Florida Atlantic 49.5% -0.38 35 19
229 South Carolina 49.5% -0.39 34 21
230 Western Carolina 49.5% -0.39 34 25
231 Chicago State 49.4% -0.39 34 9
232 Western Michigan 49.4% -0.41 34 20
233 Kansas City 49.3% -0.41 33 20
234 UConn 49.3% -0.41 33 23
235 La Salle 49.3% -0.43 33 24
236 Hofstra 49.2% -0.43 32 23
237 Lehigh 49.2% -0.43 32 15
238 North Dakota 49.1% -0.45 32 26
239 North Carolina Central 49.0% -0.48 32 13
240 Stanford 49.0% -0.48 31 27
241 UTSA 48.9% -0.49 31 22
242 Chattanooga 48.9% -0.49 31 24
243 NC State 48.9% -0.50 30 25
244 Ole Miss 48.9% -0.50 30 28
245 App State 48.7% -0.53 30 25
246 Samford 48.7% -0.54 30 17
247 South Florida 48.6% -0.54 29 21
248 Youngstown State 48.5% -0.57 29 23
249 Milwaukee 48.5% -0.58 29 22
250 Wagner 48.4% -0.59 28 20
251 Florida Gulf Coast 48.4% -0.59 28 16
252 Norfolk State 48.3% -0.62 28 23
253 Marist 48.2% -0.62 28 21
254 Akron 48.2% -0.62 27 21
255 Northwestern State 48.0% -0.67 27 28
256 Loyola Maryland 47.9% -0.68 27 17
257 Jackson State 47.9% -0.69 26 18
258 Austin Peay 47.8% -0.70 26 25
259 Denver 47.7% -0.71 26 20
260 Rhode Island 47.7% -0.72 26 25
261 UMass Lowell 47.7% -0.72 25 23
262 Pacific 47.7% -0.73 25 17
263 Navy 47.6% -0.73 25 18
264 Georgia Southern 47.6% -0.73 24 22
265 Alabama A&M 47.6% -0.75 24 15
266 Santa Clara 47.5% -0.76 24 19
267 New Hampshire 47.5% -0.76 24 18
268 UAlbany 47.3% -0.79 23 16
269 Illinois State 47.3% -0.80 23 24
270 Southern Utah 47.3% -0.80 23 19
271 Delaware State 47.2% -0.81 22 17
272 George Washington 47.2% -0.81 22 17
273 Oklahoma State 47.2% -0.82 22 30
274 Hampton 47.2% -0.82 22 25
275 William & Mary 47.2% -0.82 21 17
276 Miami 47.1% -0.82 21 27
277 Northern Arizona 47.1% -0.83 21 22
278 Presbyterian 47.1% -0.83 20 21
279 Iowa State 47.0% -0.84 20 24
280 Hartford 47.0% -0.86 20 24
281 Fairfield 46.7% -0.90 20 27
282 Idaho State 46.6% -0.92 19 19
283 East Tennessee State 46.5% -0.94 19 23
284 Miami (OH) 46.5% -0.95 19 22
285 Tennessee State 46.4% -0.97 18 22
286 UNC Asheville 46.4% -0.97 18 20
287 Bucknell 46.3% -0.98 18 12
288 Binghamton 46.3% -0.99 18 18
289 Nicholls 46.1% -1.02 17 24
290 Boston College 46.0% -1.04 17 20
291 Drake 46.0% -1.04 17 29
292 Old Dominion 45.9% -1.05 16 22
293 Louisiana 45.9% -1.06 16 24
294 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 45.8% -1.08 16 25
295 Hawai'i 45.8% -1.08 16 19
296 Saint Mary's 45.7% -1.09 15 24
297 Indiana State 45.7% -1.09 15 24
298 Elon 45.7% -1.09 15 18
299 Alabama State 45.7% -1.10 14 18
300 Holy Cross 45.6% -1.11 14 16
301 San Francisco 45.6% -1.11 14 25
302 Bowling Green 45.6% -1.12 14 25
303 Fresno State 45.5% -1.12 13 22
304 UMBC 45.3% -1.16 13 20
305 UNC Wilmington 45.2% -1.18 13 16
306 DePaul 45.1% -1.20 12 19
307 Long Beach State 45.1% -1.21 12 18
308 UNC Greensboro 45.0% -1.22 12 30
309 Sacramento State 45.0% -1.23 11 18
310 UTEP 45.0% -1.23 11 21
311 Charleston Southern 44.9% -1.24 11 20
312 Radford 44.9% -1.25 11 25
313 Northern Kentucky 44.8% -1.26 10 25
314 Louisville 44.7% -1.27 10 20
315 Northern Illinois 44.7% -1.27 10 19
316 Longwood 44.7% -1.28 9 28
317 Eastern Michigan 44.7% -1.29 9 15
318 Fairleigh Dickinson 44.5% -1.32 9 24
319 Jacksonville 44.4% -1.33 9 22
320 South Carolina State 44.4% -1.34 8 18
321 Middle Tennessee 44.3% -1.36 8 22
322 Florida 44.2% -1.38 8 25
323 SE Louisiana 44.2% -1.38 7 26
324 UC Davis 44.0% -1.41 7 17
325 Texas Southern 43.9% -1.44 7 25
326 Seattle U 43.8% -1.45 7 19
327 Oral Roberts 43.8% -1.46 6 26
328 Kennesaw State 43.7% -1.46 6 21
329 Washington 43.7% -1.47 6 26
330 North Dakota State 43.2% -1.55 5 27
331 UC Irvine 43.1% -1.57 5 25
332 South Alabama 43.1% -1.58 5 24
333 Northern Colorado 43.1% -1.58 5 19
334 Portland State 43.0% -1.59 4 18
335 North Alabama 42.6% -1.68 4 20
336 Charleston 42.5% -1.68 4 17
337 San José State 42.5% -1.69 3 19
338 Boston University 42.1% -1.76 3 18
339 LSU 42.0% -1.79 3 29
340 Montana State 41.4% -1.90 3 21
341 NJIT 41.1% -1.95 2 19
342 Western Illinois 40.9% -1.99 2 21
343 Queens University 40.7% -2.02 2 3
344 Alcorn State 40.7% -2.03 1 19
345 UAB 40.0% -2.16 1 27
346 Towson 39.2% -2.32 1 18
347 Central Michigan 38.0% -2.54 1 20
348 Omaha 37.8% -2.58 0 25
349 Mercyhurst 34.8% -3.14 0 1