Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -470 CLT +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -9.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -7.5 (+2.5) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -7.4 (+2.6) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -7.8 (+2.2) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -8.6 (+1.4) | 145.2 (-7.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | CLT 104 – 100 WICH |
| Feb 5, 2025 | WICH 66 – 58 CLT |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WICH 68 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CLT 72 – 61 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#90) | 0.2 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#131) | 0.15 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#123) | 0.03 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#136) | 0.515 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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