Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +490 LIB -675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -10.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -10.2 (+4.2) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -10.7 (+4.7) | 132.8 (+11.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -10.6 (+4.6) | 134.7 (+9.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -9.7 (+3.7) | 133.3 (+10.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIB 67 – 51 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 17-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#288) | 6.0 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#310) | 1.83 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#277) | 2.05 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#306) | 0.594 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 60.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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