We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · January 31, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -8.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money QUIN -440 / SHU +340
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual SHU +7 189 Lost
Massey QUIN -10.0 (-17.0)
Massey Totals 158.9 (+30.1)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -8.5 (-15.5) 151.3 (+37.7) 83%
Model 4 ML QUIN -8.6 (-15.6) 152.0 (+37.0) 82%
Model 3 ML QUIN -8.8 (-15.8) 150.3 (+38.7) 82%
Baseline ML QUIN -8.8 (-15.8) 151.6 (+37.4) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 QUIN 7060 SHU
Feb 15, 2025 QUIN 9990 SHU
Dec 8, 2024 QUIN 8373 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN SHU
Overall 19-13 14-19
Conference 12-8 9-11
Home 10-5 8-5
Away 9-7 5-13
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 74.3
Avg Pts Against 72.6 77.6
Massey -1.5 (#189) -8.4 (#293)
Bradley-Terry 0.24 (#147) -1.35 (#288)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.39 (#133) -1.58 (#274)
RPI 0.531 (#112) 0.448 (#266)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN SHU
FG% 43.6% 42.9%
3PT% 35.8% 36.2%
REB / G 35.0 34.3
OREB / G 11.6 10.6
AST / TO 1.19 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 51.9%
TOV% 15.8% 18.6%
ORB% 32.6% 29.9%
FT Rate 22.6% 22.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 55.0%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 16.1%
DRB% 67.0% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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