Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -700 LONG +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -0.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -0.2 (+15.8) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -0.2 (+16.2) | 140.6 (+3.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -0.7 (+15.3) | 138.2 (+5.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -1.9 (+14.1) | 138.9 (+5.1) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 0.1 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#107) | 0.84 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#114) | 1.01 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#79) | 0.510 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 40.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.