Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -155 LIB +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -12.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -4.6 (+2.6) | 132.7 (-0.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -4.7 (+2.7) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -4.4 (+2.4) | 134.6 (-2.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -3.4 (+1.4) | 132.3 (-0.3) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | 11.6 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#107) | 1.98 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#114) | 3.62 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#79) | 0.561 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 52.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 60.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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