Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -125 OSU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -2.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -0.2 (-10.2) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.0 (-10.0) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.5 (-9.5) | 150.3 (-16.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.6 (-9.4) | 150.5 (-16.5) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | ORE 73 – 71 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#90) | 13.2 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#115) | 1.88 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#103) | 2.66 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#122) | 0.577 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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