I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Conference USA · Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · January 9, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -11.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money SHSU -800 / DEL +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +12 132 Won
Massey SHSU -16.1 (-4.1)
Massey Totals 148.7 (-16.7)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML SHSU -11.2 (+0.8) 141.1 (-9.1) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -11.3 (+0.7) 140.7 (-8.7) 86%
Baseline ML SHSU -11.9 (+0.1) 140.2 (-8.2) 85%
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -11.7 (+0.3) 140.7 (-8.7) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 DEL 8380 SHSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU DEL
Overall 22-12 10-21
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 13-1 5-10
Away 6-10 4-10
Neutral 3-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 67.9
Avg Pts Against 76.9 74.1
Massey 4.9 (#110) -7.4 (#279)
Bradley-Terry 0.64 (#121) -1.38 (#282)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.88 (#121) -1.63 (#271)
RPI 0.551 (#88) 0.425 (#298)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU DEL
FG% 44.5% 44.7%
3PT% 36.2% 37.1%
REB / G 39.0 31.4
OREB / G 14.0 6.8
AST / TO 1.09 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 52.9%
TOV% 17.5% 19.3%
ORB% 37.4% 22.1%
FT Rate 24.0% 17.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 16.0%
DRB% 66.4% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 28.2% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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