Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +12 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -28.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -22.9 (-10.9) | 153.1 (+16.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -22.7 (-10.7) | 149.8 (+20.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -24.6 (-12.6) | 151.1 (+18.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -25.2 (-13.2) | 152.1 (+17.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 1-15 |
| Home | 15-6 | 3-11 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 84.8 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#44) | -11.9 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#31) | -3.61 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#40) | -5.08 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#43) | 0.348 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 24.9% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 62.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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