Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -2800 VILL +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +28 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -25.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -16.4 (+11.6) | 150.5 (-0.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -20.5 (+7.5) | 148.5 (+1.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -22.3 (+5.7) | 148.3 (+1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -22.9 (+5.1) | 147.3 (+2.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2022 | VILL 63 – 55 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 11-0 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 32.1 (#1) | 11.6 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.88 (#5) | 1.71 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.01 (#4) | 2.46 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.743 (#1) | 0.595 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.8% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 45.8 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 15.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.0% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 44.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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