It's tough kid, but it's life. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Florida Atlantic Owls
86 78
FINAL Neutral Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic
Oklahoma State Cowboys
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread FAU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Over
Money FAU -135 / OKST +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAU win
Actual FAU +8 164 Won
Massey FAU -6.2 (+1.8)
Massey Totals 186.2 (-22.2)
Bradley-Terry 43%
Weighted B-T 35%
Baseline Plus ML FAU -2.9 (+5.1) 161.7 (+2.3) 60%
Baseline ML FAU -4.9 (+3.1) 163.9 (+0.1) 71%
Baseline Tuned ML FAU -4.7 (+3.3) 160.4 (+3.6) 68%
Efficiency Plus ML FAU -5.0 (+3.0) 154.6 (+9.4) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAU OKST
Overall 18-16 17-18
Conference 10-8 7-13
Home 8-5 13-4
Away 6-7 3-10
Neutral 4-4 1-4
Last 5 2-2 3-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.1 73.0
Avg Pts Against 76.4 76.3
Massey 11.8 (#33) 5.5 (#82)
Bradley-Terry 1.89 (#49) 2.17 (#34)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.10 (#41) 3.70 (#23)
RPI 0.689 (#18) 0.672 (#25)
Shooting & Four Factors FAU OKST
FG% 51.9% 44.8%
3PT% 45.8% 37.5%
REB / G 36.8 37.7
OREB / G 8.0 12.7
AST / TO 1.19 1.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 61.3% 51.0%
TOV% 17.6% 13.6%
ORB% 23.4% 33.3%
FT Rate 25.0% 28.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.9% 58.0%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 25.2%
DRB% 74.7% 77.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 13.2%

Game Analysis

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