Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -230 ORU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +19 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -2.6 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.3 (+17.7) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.0 (+20.0) | 146.5 (-3.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.7 (+20.7) | 148.2 (-5.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -0.4 (+19.4) | 147.4 (-4.4) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#277) | -4.0 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#317) | -0.70 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#310) | -0.27 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#268) | 0.509 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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