Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -10000 IDST +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -15.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.5 (+35.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -15.1 (-1.1) | 129.9 (+24.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -15.1 (-1.1) | 127.6 (+26.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -14.6 (-0.6) | 129.1 (+24.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -14.2 (-0.2) | 132.5 (+21.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#24) | 4.7 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#153) | -0.45 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#143) | 0.09 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#187) | 0.453 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 23.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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