Betting Lines
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +32 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -11.3 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -15.6 (+16.4) | 150.8 (-18.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -9.6 (+22.4) | 149.0 (-17.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -10.3 (+21.7) | 150.6 (-18.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -11.4 (+20.6) | 151.0 (-19.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#66) | 3.1 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#78) | 0.47 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#72) | 1.38 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#34) | 0.549 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | UNO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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