Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +110 PRST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -0.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTU -1.0 (-6.0) | 148.6 (-17.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -0.1 (-4.9) | 150.0 (-19.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -3.1 (-8.1) | 152.0 (-21.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTU -1.7 (-6.7) | 150.1 (-19.1) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | PRST 71 – 68 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#260) | 0.5 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#197) | -0.83 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#220) | -1.32 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#162) | 0.513 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 44.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 40.9% |
Game Analysis
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