Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -205 OAK +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +8 | 182 | Lost |
| Massey | MONT -6.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.2 (-12.2) | 156.1 (+25.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MONT -4.3 (-12.3) | 157.8 (+24.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MONT -4.5 (-12.5) | 158.4 (+23.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -5.1 (-13.1) | 159.6 (+22.4) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#163) | 0.4 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#203) | -0.11 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#192) | -0.01 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#193) | 0.566 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.