Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -1600 WIN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -8.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -9.3 (-2.3) | 153.9 (-0.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -9.6 (-2.6) | 152.8 (+0.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -10.7 (-3.7) | 154.4 (-1.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -10.2 (-3.2) | 155.4 (-2.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-3 |
| Home | 16-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#43) | 9.1 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#4) | 0.36 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.10 (#12) | 0.31 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.697 (#6) | 0.533 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 12.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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