Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ N/A SCST +5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +32 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -33.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -26.9 (+5.1) | 152.0 (+12.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -24.8 (+7.2) | 149.6 (+14.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -31.1 (+0.9) | 150.6 (+13.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -33.2 (-1.2) | 151.9 (+12.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 59 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 6-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#48) | -16.0 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#52) | -3.22 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#67) | -4.76 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#80) | 0.339 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 57.6% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.8% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 39.7% |
Game Analysis
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