Betting Lines
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -2100 CAM +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +48 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -14.7 (+33.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -14.6 (+33.4) | 156.5 (-6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -13.4 (+34.6) | 151.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -14.2 (+33.8) | 153.2 (-3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -14.8 (+33.2) | 152.6 (-2.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#81) | -1.8 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#151) | -0.14 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#137) | -0.14 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#168) | 0.506 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 41.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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