Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -250 RICE +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -10.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -7.1 (+7.9) | 150.0 (-9.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -8.3 (+6.7) | 150.3 (-9.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -9.3 (+5.7) | 153.5 (-12.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -11.1 (+3.9) | 153.5 (-12.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#210) | -6.6 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#184) | -2.00 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#121) | -2.76 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#185) | 0.441 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.6 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.