Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UCSB -260 UTEP +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +3 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSB -26.7 (-29.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -27.0 (-30.0) | 148.3 (+6.7) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -29.7 (-32.7) | 148.7 (+6.3) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -20.5 (-23.5) | 147.1 (+7.9) | 91% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2023 | UTEP 89 – 76 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#45) | -9.8 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#17) | -1.05 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#18) | -1.83 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#103) | 0.000 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 26.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 30.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 43.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 62.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 60.4% |
Game Analysis
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