Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -1400 JKST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -14.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -11.5 (+5.5) | 145.5 (-4.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -11.0 (+6.0) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -11.1 (+5.9) | 144.9 (-3.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -10.9 (+6.1) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-5 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#233) | -11.2 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#252) | -1.14 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#236) | -1.57 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#218) | 0.510 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 66.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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