Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP N/A W&M -10000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -13.6 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -6.5 (-4.5) | 141.1 (-4.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -6.2 (-4.8) | 139.3 (-2.3) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -7.5 (-3.5) | 137.3 (-0.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -8.3 (-2.7) | 138.2 (-1.2) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#297) | 5.8 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#241) | 1.30 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#235) | 1.87 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#66) | 0.616 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 24.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 58.2% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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