Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -2100 RUTG +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +25 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -18.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -14.1 (+10.9) | 137.6 (+7.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -14.2 (+10.8) | 136.9 (+8.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -14.0 (+11.0) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -15.6 (+9.4) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#17) | -3.3 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#65) | -0.57 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#71) | -1.39 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#112) | 0.412 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 47.6 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 49.7% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.2% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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