Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -195 ACU +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -16.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -14.5 (-8.5) | 143.6 (+18.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -15.3 (-9.3) | 142.8 (+19.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -12.3 (-6.3) | 142.0 (+20.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -11.0 (-5.0) | 140.4 (+21.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#121) | -7.3 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#222) | -1.35 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#198) | -2.15 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#178) | 0.419 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 46.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 27.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 47.7% | 39.2% |
Game Analysis
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