Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -1000 IONA +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +43 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -16.9 (+26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -14.0 (+29.0) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -13.9 (+29.1) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -13.3 (+29.7) | 142.8 (-13.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -11.1 (+31.9) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#93) | -5.3 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#143) | -1.49 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#126) | -2.46 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#31) | 0.454 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 19.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 46.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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