Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -155 MOST +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +18 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -12.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-36.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -4.7 (+13.3) | 143.5 (-27.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -6.2 (+11.8) | 138.1 (-22.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -4.7 (+13.3) | 144.4 (-28.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | MOST 78 – 68 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#216) | -4.1 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#204) | -1.36 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#206) | -1.28 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#73) | 0.438 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 12.0% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.30 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 32.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 48.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.6% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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