Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -215 BGSU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +4 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -6.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+47.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -4.1 (-0.1) | 132.3 (+45.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -4.9 (-0.9) | 131.9 (+46.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -7.2 (-3.2) | 128.4 (+49.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -4.8 (-0.8) | 130.8 (+47.2) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | DAV 91 – 85 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#68) | 9.8 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#4) | 0.67 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.12 (#3) | 0.96 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.778 (#11) | 0.542 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 46.8% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.5% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 29.8% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 13.2% |
Game Analysis
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