Betting Lines
| Spread | NJIT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NJIT -140 FDU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +12 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | NJIT -16.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NJIT -8.1 (+3.9) | 143.1 (+30.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -9.6 (+2.4) | 137.9 (+36.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -10.6 (+1.4) | 138.3 (+35.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NJIT -10.4 (+1.6) | 137.0 (+37.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | FDU 71 – 68 NJIT |
| Dec 11, 2022 | FDU 73 – 71 NJIT |
| Nov 24, 2021 | NJIT 62 – 54 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#211) | -7.9 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#138) | -1.23 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#165) | -1.82 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#222) | 0.375 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 60.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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