Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -750 DREX +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +30 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -18.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -12.9 (+17.1) | 137.6 (-7.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -12.5 (+17.5) | 137.5 (-7.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -15.0 (+15.0) | 134.2 (-4.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -13.6 (+16.4) | 138.4 (-8.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2021 | SYR 75 – 60 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#11) | -2.9 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#142) | -1.64 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#139) | -2.24 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#222) | 0.229 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.05 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 12.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 27.3% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 48.1% |
Game Analysis
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