Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | LONG -2000 BING +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +8 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -13.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -8.1 (-0.1) | 137.9 (+34.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -7.3 (+0.7) | 140.6 (+31.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -8.5 (-0.5) | 140.0 (+32.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -9.0 (-1.0) | 140.5 (+31.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2024 | LONG 66 – 60 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#244) | -7.5 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#165) | -2.15 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#156) | -3.19 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#120) | 0.472 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.4% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 20.5% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.6% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 10.0% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 38.4% | 35.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 8.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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