Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -210 SHU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -15.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -7.2 (+9.8) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -8.0 (+9.0) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -8.4 (+8.6) | 150.2 (-5.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -7.5 (+9.5) | 147.8 (-2.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#166) | -5.4 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#329) | -0.90 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#329) | -1.38 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#315) | 0.458 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 60.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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