Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +135 WOF -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +8 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -11.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+39.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -1.6 (-9.6) | 132.6 (+47.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -4.3 (-12.3) | 136.3 (+43.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -5.1 (-13.1) | 137.8 (+42.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -5.5 (-13.5) | 138.0 (+42.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.3 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#293) | -8.1 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#235) | 0.03 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#240) | 0.02 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#144) | 0.604 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 23.0% |
| REB / G | 25.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 67.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.