Betting Lines
| Spread | USA -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | COPP +1800 USA -6000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USA +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | USA -17.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USA -10.3 (+0.3) | 134.4 (-0.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | USA -12.8 (+2.8) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 13% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | USA -9.7 (-0.3) | 135.7 (-1.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USA -10.7 (+0.7) | 129.6 (+4.4) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-15 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -18.1 (#359) | -1.1 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#350) | 2.68 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.92 (#351) | 3.40 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.269 (#343) | 0.573 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 60.7% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.