Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | KU -10000 PRIN +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +19 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | KU -27.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -16.6 (+2.4) | 142.8 (-9.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -20.6 (-1.6) | 144.6 (-11.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -24.5 (-5.5) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -24.7 (-5.7) | 143.3 (-10.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#24) | -5.0 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#161) | 1.09 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#160) | 1.95 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#194) | 0.740 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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