Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -2000 WIU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -16.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CBU -11.9 (-1.9) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -13.7 (-3.7) | 140.7 (-12.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -14.4 (-4.4) | 135.5 (-7.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 1-19 |
| Home | 15-0 | 4-11 |
| Away | 7-8 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#72) | -0.6 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#22) | -1.11 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#29) | -1.49 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.969 (#1) | 0.278 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 46.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 42.7% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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