Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -125 HAMP +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -8.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -2.1 (-11.1) | 142.4 (-7.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -3.5 (-12.5) | 144.0 (-9.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -3.3 (-12.3) | 145.4 (-10.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -3.1 (-12.1) | 145.5 (-10.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#311) | -6.2 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#351) | -0.90 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.71 (#346) | -1.22 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.347 (#310) | 0.365 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 55.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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