Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -800 ETAM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -14.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -8.9 (-1.9) | 137.9 (-2.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -7.2 (-0.2) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -8.1 (-1.1) | 141.3 (-6.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -9.0 (-2.0) | 141.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-16 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#210) | -6.7 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#304) | -0.74 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#294) | -1.01 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#73) | 0.479 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.3% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 23.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.2% | 44.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.