Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -700 FUR +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -20.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -13.4 (+2.6) | 131.1 (-7.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -16.1 (-0.1) | 131.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -20.5 (-4.5) | 131.4 (-7.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -19.7 (-3.7) | 132.3 (-8.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#111) | -7.3 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#87) | -1.48 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#88) | -1.87 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#73) | 0.562 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.76 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 27.5% |
| ORB% | 16.9% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 13.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.