Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -100000 MILW +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +17 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -28.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -21.1 (-4.1) | 160.7 (-17.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -20.6 (-3.6) | 159.0 (-16.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -24.4 (-7.4) | 158.4 (-15.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -24.2 (-7.2) | 160.0 (-17.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#17) | -5.5 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#125) | -0.12 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#98) | -0.33 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#59) | 0.434 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 39.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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