Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SC -3000 USM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SC -15.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -11.4 (-7.4) | 148.3 (+13.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -16.8 (-12.8) | 149.0 (+13.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#140) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#122) | -0.36 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#114) | -0.45 (#188) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | USM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 54.0% |
| 3PT% | 43.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.3% | 60.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 38.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 81.1% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 47.2% |
Game Analysis
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