Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 174.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +130 TA&M -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +24 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -12.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -6.6 (+17.4) | 156.3 (-6.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -5.7 (+18.3) | 154.2 (-4.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 86.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#105) | 4.8 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#121) | 0.58 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#110) | 0.81 (#91) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 52.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 60.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 26.2% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.