Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -700 SDST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -20.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -12.8 (-5.8) | 142.9 (-19.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -13.9 (-6.9) | 139.0 (-16.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#74) | -1.1 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#112) | 1.00 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#106) | 1.41 (#53) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.4% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.40 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 12.7% | 35.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.5% | 39.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.8% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 39.3% |
Game Analysis
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