Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -100000 MORE +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +39 | 201 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -38.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+55.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -25.8 (+13.2) | 143.3 (+57.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -33.5 (+5.5) | 142.4 (+58.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 24.0 (#1) | -0.7 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#75) | -0.35 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#60) | -0.48 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#76) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 22.6% |
| REB / G | 45.5 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 10.5% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 43.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.4% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 35.6% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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