Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -550 WMU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +9 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -14.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -3.0 (+6.0) | 143.4 (+29.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -3.4 (+5.6) | 143.2 (+29.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#221) | -3.1 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#257) | 0.42 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#255) | 0.50 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#61) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 21.2% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.39 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 16.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 56.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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