Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -340 UTC +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +32 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -8.9 (+23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -2.3 (+29.7) | 146.7 (+23.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -3.3 (+28.7) | 148.1 (+21.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#284) | -1.1 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#324) | -0.35 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#324) | -0.49 (#198) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 21.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 27.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 56.0% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 49.1% | 60.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.