Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -38.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +45 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -14.4 (+30.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BYU -7.5 (+37.5) | 142.3 (+8.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -10.1 (+34.9) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#138) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#50) | -0.74 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#52) | -1.11 (#286) |
| RPI | — | 0.250 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 5.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.9% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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